Predictions: Guilt: Guilty participants will be more likely to accept a guilty plea than innocent participants.
Conviction Probability: Participants who are given a higher probability of conviction at trial will be more likely to accept a guilty plea than participants who are given a low probability of conviction at trial.
4 articles used for this paper are:
Psychology 14 (2013), Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2459637
Henderson, K. S., & Levett, L. M. (2018). Investigating predictors of true and false guilty pleas. Law and Human Behavior, 42(5), 427.
Edkins, V. A., & Dervan, L. E. (2018). Freedom now or a future later: Pitting the lasting implications of collateral consequences against pretrial detention in decisions to plead guilty. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law, 24(2), 204.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/355049079_Guilt_status_influences_plea_outcomes_beyond_the_shadow-of-the-trial_in_an_interactive_simulation_of_legal_procedures
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/247808263_The_Effects_of_Likelihood_of_Conviction_Threatened_Punishment_and_Assumed_Role_on_Mock_Plea_Bargaining_Decisions